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Hard-CTA misfire rate

Share of primary-CTA clicks immediately followed by a back-navigation or exit on the next screen.

A misfire is the clearest sign that a CTA promised one thing and the next screen demanded another — a curiosity click that collapses on contact with reality. Measure it as the conditional rate of back or exit events on the screen reached from click_primary_cta.

Especially useful as a guardrail for CTA-label experiments: a higher click rate isn’t a win if misfire goes up with it.

How patterns use this KPI

PatternHow it's instrumentedWhy it matters there
Premature Conversionclick_primary_cta → immediate_back / click_primary_cta → exitThe clearest signal that a CTA promised one thing and the next screen demanded another.